50 von 57 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
An interesting start...,
Rezension bezieht sich auf: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Taschenbuch)
...that does not live up to expectations. I have to agree with reviewers in German, although it is a shame that people who can't read German will miss them and just read the praiseful reviews written in English.
Let us begin with the fact that Nassim Taleb's ideas are not that all innovative. Not even in Physics. He also lacks an understanding of some fundamental laws of the univers which in fact, favour the idea that unforeseen events have major impacts. One of them being the second law of thermodynamics also explains some of his babbling about our perception of time. It even explains why engineering can ONLY predict forward in time, and not backward (he has a very bad example with an ice cube).
Now, if you want my recommendation, find yourself another book on the subject, he is, after a while, just going on and on about the same, and complaining, showing you how good he is, and why every other social scientist is a sucker. Mind you, I personally wouldn't disagree about social scientists that try to use regressions to make predictions about the future, of economists which assume humans make ration choices, but wheter I'd exclude Nassim Taleb from that circle, well...