Am höchsten bewertete kritische Rezension
Too many mistakes and mistaken assumptions
am 13. September 2013
I really enjoy watching Michio Kaku on various TV specials and short news blurbs; so I decided to pick up a Kindle copy from the local library. I would have bought a copy but there is no text-to-speech so there is no sale.
This book has an extensive introduction to his plan to predict the future and how he understands the principles of correctly predicting the future of physics. Unfortunately he gets a lot of the history wrong and today’s technology wrong. So is it surprising that he predicts the end of Moore’s law without taking into consideration the various ways in which new thinking and materials will easily extend the law into the future?
Yes I know that the previous statement does not contain details. However I could write a book on just the mistakes in vision displayed by Michio Kaku. One example and then you are on your own. At first he nails the problem when he states, "In 1893, as part of the worlds Columbian exposition in Chicago, 74 well-known individuals were asked to predict what life would be like in the next 100 years. The one problem was that they consistently underestimated the rate of progress of science." Then he goes on to make the exact mistake as he says, “But this process cannot go on forever. At some point, it will be physically impossible to etch transistors in the way that are the size of atoms." Now who is consistently underrating the rate of progress of science?
On a personal note it may be correct that old habits never die. But I have not hit the printer once this year at work (sorry Infoprint). I only commute to work to get away from the cats at home. And I am the only one in an empty office. My coworkers are strewn over the U.S. and support staff over the world.
However I can over look a few faux pas to see what he is trying to say.
Actually much of the speculation in this book seems to be related to old sci-fi movies and old TV programs. He missed the Science Fiction Theatre (1955 TV series) [1955-1957] program on the driverless car; it was probably before his time.
After Michio Kaku talked about watching superman and having his powers, the one thing I am looking forward to is glasses that can discover Victoria’s Secret.
If you like this book then do not miss The Beginning of Infinity: Explanations That Transform the World
A little back ground music In The Year 2525