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Why Your World is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller: Oil and the End of Globalisation
 
 

Why Your World is About to Get a Whole Lot Smaller: Oil and the End of Globalisation [Kindle Edition]

Jeff Rubin
4.0 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (1 Kundenrezension)

Digitaler Listenpreis: EUR 9,66 Was ist das?
Kindle-Preis: EUR 6,76 Inkl. MwSt. und kostenloser drahtloser Lieferung über Amazon Whispernet

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Kindle Edition EUR 6,76  
Gebundene Ausgabe EUR 20,99  
Taschenbuch EUR 12,88  

Produktbeschreibungen

Pressestimmen

"The book is a great read, and one that should be required for anyone with a long-term interest in Canadian energy, transportation, manufacturing or agriculture."
— The Globe and Mail

"Jeff Rubin is not your typical eggheaded senior economist.... And the controversy that has dogged his work is about to hit the boiling point.... So get set. If Jeff Rubin says something is coming, you better listen. Love him or hate him."
— Canadian Business

"Should be mandatory reading for all corporate executives."
National Post


From the Hardcover edition.

Kurzbeschreibung

Soaring oil prices caused four out of the last five recessions. They caused the current recession. And they will cause the next one. Expensive oil costs us more than just money. It costs jobs, homes and in the long run it is going to radically alter the way we live. For if cheap oil is the fuel that keeps the machinery of globalisation in motion, then expensive oil has the same effect as pouring diesel into an unleaded tank. Everything stalls; the engine fails. Oil prices will rise again in the coming years, as this utterly convincing insight into our collective future argues. And as oil prices fluctuate wildly, our society will change dramatically, and for good. From the homes we live in and the cars we drive to the food we eat and the places we work, our daily lives and global economy are going to be transformed. But while this new, smaller world will take some getting used to, it will also open our eyes to a more localised and ultimately more liveable way of life.

Produktinformation

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • Dateigröße: 423 KB
  • Seitenzahl der Print-Ausgabe: 306 Seiten
  • ISBN-Quelle für Seitenzahl: 0753519631
  • Verlag: Virgin Digital (11. Juli 2011)
  • Verkauf durch: Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • ASIN: B005CUTTI2
  • Text-to-Speech (Vorlesemodus): Aktiviert
  • Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 4.0 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (1 Kundenrezension)
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: #166.316 Bezahlt in Kindle-Shop (Siehe Top 100 Bezahlt in Kindle-Shop)

  •  Ist der Verkauf dieses Produkts für Sie nicht akzeptabel?

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Jeff Rubin
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gefahr und chance 17. Dezember 2010
Format:Taschenbuch
Das im Buch vorhergesagt Ende der Globalisierung nach Verknappung des Ölangebotes wird so nicht kommen. Die Prognosen für den Waren- und Personenverkehr sind zwar teilweise plausibel, Globalisierung ist aber auch durch die Informationsvernetzung gegeben, und die scheint wohl nicht gefährdet. Der Waren- und Personenverkehr muß ja auch nicht verschwinden, sondern "nur" auf ein nachhaltiges Maß reduziert werden.
Trotzdem ein sehr informatives Buch zum Thema, mit besonders erhellenden Erkenntnissen zum Zusammenhang Ölpreis und Wirtschaftskrisen allgemein und aktuelle Krise im Besonderen. Interessant auch die Feststellung, dass weniger Verkehr in vielen Bereichen durchaus die Lebensqualität erhöhen kann.
Absolut lesenswert.
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Amazon.com:  42 Rezensionen
74 von 75 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Thoroughly enjoyable and plausible 15. Juli 2009
Von Robert Ehrlich - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
I read Jeff Rubin's book because I invest in energy stocks and like to know the broad societal implications of energy issues. I was fascinated by his major premise that high energy costs will end the global marketplace. It is the opposite of Tom Friedman's World is Flat premise. Rubin's basic argument is that high energy prices will trump low labor costs of developing countries. That will mean we will re-industrialize and start making things again in America. That may make us look more like 1950's America. Most economists say globalization is irreversible but Rubin disagrees. Globalization is only possible when cheap energy allows shipping anything at low cost.

There are two other books that have the same end of cheap energy theme. One is Stephen Leeb's Game Over and the other is $20 a Gallon by Chris Steiner. Leeb's book is more of an investment survival guide while Steiner's $20 a Gallon is more of a sociological portrait of America in the age of prohibitive gas prices. Leeb is rather depressing in positing the end of cheap energy and commodities in general. Leeb sees global insecurity as countries fight for resources.

Steiner sees high energy as an opportunity to re-urbanize America with close in dense communities without cars. Steiner does a great job of predicting how escalating gas prices will change our lives. He says we may be happier living a simpler less consumption oriented lifestyle.

Rubin's book is the best all round book for it covers both economics and sociology. If you want to know how to make money from energy shortages, Leeb has some valuable and practical advice. Steiner will leave you hopeful for a simpler, more community minded America. I recommend all three books without hesitation as helpful guides to an America facing a dearth of resources in the next 20 years. They certainly reinforce the need for a national energy policy now while we may be able to extend resources.
44 von 49 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
The end of the world as we know it ain't so bad... 26. Juni 2009
Von M. W. Pease - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
Jeff Rubin gets right to it on page 1, declaring that the global financial meltdown of 2008 had as much to do with $150 oil as it did with bad mortgages. I was waiting for somebody to say what I suspected was true. And Rubin delivers, continuing, that we are at a turning point in modern society. In 2008, we passed over the peak of the age of cheap energy. From here on out, energy, especially oil is going to be harder to get out of the ground, and we may never produce much more than we did last year.

Furthermore, he warns that the world has two choices in the next few years. Either transition our society to less energy-intensive, more localized communities; or keep banging our collective heads against the wall of this rapidly depleting resource and face recession after recession each time supply fails to meet demand.

Two years ago, he was right in predicting when $100 oil would happen. And it appears this book may be right just weeks after being published, with the supposed "green shoots" of economic recovery triggering a doubling in the price of oil in the first half of 2009. The book predicts we'll soon be back in the triple digits. Maybe even $200 a barrel and $7/gallon.

I was very impressed with the book because:
A) An economist acknowledged what most economists don't; that resources are limited - and so is economic growth

B) He presents us with hope that a smaller (less energy-intensive) world may actually be a happier world

I'm eager to see what else Rubin may have to say about this in the coming years.
50 von 58 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
A Good Education for the Average Citizen 8. Juni 2009
Von Arlene - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
I am neither an economist, politician, oil company employee, nor geologist: I am the average citizen who gained information from this book about how the price and supply of oil could potentially affect my life. Although there are aspects of the book that I've been exposed to previously, Rubin provided me with more detail and with new information that will certainly be new to others also as evidenced by the lack of disussion of these topics by colleagues, neighbours etc. who are also average citizens. There is certainly a population of people who will benefit from reading this. Whether the world evolves as Rubin expects, and to what degree, is obviously unknown; however, the material between the covers is certainly food for thought and gives a better understanding of the intricacies of how the world currently operates and why it may indeed unfold as he suggests.

Rubin presents much diverse information yet manages to tie together all the pieces in cohesive, friendly prose that is not statistically boring and stuffy yet is backed with facts. There are 11 pages of source notes at the back should anyone question the validity or sources of his information or desire to read more. The book is thorough in that it gives good background, demonstrates relationships between various elements of our world and takes into account numerous countries and their roles in all of this. It's a good read if you don't want to live with your head in the sand.
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