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The Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update [Englisch] [Taschenbuch]

Donella H. Meadows , Dennis Meadows , Jorgen Randers
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Kurzbeschreibung

Juni 2004
'If you only read one book ...make this it!' - L. Hunter Lovins, co-author of "Natural Capitalism". 'It is time for the world to re-read "Limits to Growth"! The message of 1972 is more real and relevant in 2004, and we wasted 30 valuable years of action by misreading the message of the first book' - Matthew R. Simmons, founder, Simmons & Company International, the world's largest energy investment banking firm. 'If you want to understand what's going on Earth, read it' - Patrick Whitefield, Permaculture. In 1972, "Limits to Growth" shocked the world and forever changed the global agenda by demonstrating that unchecked growth on our finite planet was leading the Earth towards ecological 'overshoot' and pending disaster. The book went on to sell millions of copies and ignited a firestorm of controversy that burns hotter than ever in these days of soaring oil prices, wars for resources and human-induced climate change. This substantially revised, expanded and updated edition follows on from "Limits to Growth" and its sequel "Beyond the Limits", which raised the alarm that we have already overshot the planet's carrying capacity. Marshalling a vast array of new, hard data, more powerful computer modelling and incorporating the latest thinking on sustainability, ecological footprinting and limits, this new book presents future overshoot scenarios and makes an even more urgent case for a rapid readjustment of the global economy toward a sustainable path. This is compelling, essential and, indeed, essential reading for all concerned with our common future.
-- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine vergriffene oder nicht verfügbare Ausgabe dieses Titels.

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The Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update + 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years + Prosperity Without Growth: Economics for a Finite Planet
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'If you only read one book... make this it!' Hunter Lovins, co-author of Natural Capitalism; 'An impressive sequel... [that] shuns gloom and doom to be boldly pragmatic about the future' Kirkus Reviews -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine vergriffene oder nicht verfügbare Ausgabe dieses Titels.

Synopsis

In 1972, The Limits to Growth shocked the world and forever changed the global agenda by demonstrating that unchecked growth on our finite planet was leading planet earth towards ecological 'overshoot' and pending disaster. Employing computer modelling and hard data the book went on to sell 13 million of copies and ignited a firestorm of controversy that burns hotter than ever in our days of soaring oil prices, wars for resources and human-induced climate change. This substantially revised, expanded and updated edition follows on from The Limits to Growth and its sequel Beyond the Limits, which raised the alarm that we have already over-shot the planet's carrying capacity. Marshalling a vast array of new data, more powerful computer modelling and incorporating the latest thinking on sustainability, ecological footprinting and limits, this new book presents future overshoot scenarios and makes an even more urgent case for a rapid readjustment of the global economy toward a sustainable path. This is compelling, essential and indeed necessary reading for all concerned with our common future. -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine vergriffene oder nicht verfügbare Ausgabe dieses Titels.

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Kundenrezensionen

4.6 von 5 Sternen
4.6 von 5 Sternen
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12 von 12 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen The comeback of a classic! 12. April 2006
Format:Taschenbuch
The 30-Year-Update is one of the most important books of our days. For me as part of the younger generation, I only heard from the original 1972 study mostly by its critics. Althoug I feel close to environmental groups and was a Greenpeace activist for some years, I had way too much prejudice towards the Limits to Growth because of this inappropriate cirticism.
This Update brings it all back: The fundamental arguments against a society holding on to the illusion of everlasting economic growth, the finally fatal consequences of a world which is not willing to reduce its consume of natural resources, and the pointing out of humankind's dependency on ecosystems and their "services".
Reading this book, I finally understood what the mission of the orignal Limits to Grwoth was, and to which extent it has been misunderstood ever since. This is no prognosis, it is a warning. It is a warning against our way of life, and its implications show a devastating future for all parts of the world. However, this warning cannot be thrown out of the window likely, because one would have to argue sophistically against the computer model World3 which is being used to calculate possible developments in Earth's future.
The authors present around a dozen runs of their model and explain the different assumptions of each. Maybe one of the most important messages is that since 1972, we have lost more than 30 years in which we might have done a lot to save the environment and to rescue millions of people. These days, 6,000 people die each day because they lack fresh water. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment showed that 60% of all (investigated) ecosystems are being degraded.
Lesen Sie weiter... ›
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8 von 8 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen A challange for mankind 26. Dezember 2005
Format:Taschenbuch
This book is frightening. On a macroscopic level the author sketch the future of the world in terms of population, economic, resource, pollution and wealth growth. As every model, the World3 model neglegts details that other might have included, or includes details that others find irrelevant. However, the sensitivity analysis of their model shows, that it does not matter if you precisely know the amount of depletable resources. The outcomes are nonetheless shocking if you assume twice the amount of oil.
This book tries to get one message to the reader: "In order to continue to live on this planet as mankind does at the moment, all human beings must work towards sustainability." The list of prequisites for sustainablity this book lists is long. I'm 25 years old at the moment. I'm really interested/excited/scared to see the predicitions of this book come true when I'm 80.
But before any positive sketches of the futures can be drawn, mankind must comprehend that there is little time left for corrective actions to enviromental pollution, overpopulation and resource waste. I can only say: Read this book!
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5 von 5 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
4.0 von 5 Sternen die frühen WarnerInnen 9. Juni 2010
Format:Taschenbuch|Verifizierter Kauf
Ein Standardwerk, hier in Originalfassung. Die Deutsche Übersetzung ist auch gut. Immer noch ein Buch, das zum Nachdenken anregt. Das 30-Year-Update ist aber klar pessimistischer als die vorgängigen Auflagen.
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8 von 9 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen A must read! 21. September 2004
Von Ein Kunde
Format:Taschenbuch
This book is based on definitely the most thorough model in economic growth and the environment at this moment. Written for anyone with some interest in this topic, it will deepen your understanding of the issues involved and the links between major variables. Scientists should use the feedback loops in the models to understand how to develop their own models further. For the non-scientists, it gives a wonderful and objective perspective of the problems of nowadays. The emphasis is laid on the problem of overshooting. This means that our inherent uncertainty is about the point where we reach a certain threshold and then potentially vast consequences can result. For example, too much CO2 in the atmosphere leading to instability in the climate.
Please read the book, make up your mind about the problems and understand that it is our obligation to decide now on the scope of the choices we leave for our future generations.
For the economist: The model used in this book goes much further than any other model today in the field of economic growth and the environment. Even though there is not full information on all the parameters and coefficients (such that the authors had to guess them), the model seems to be fairly robust to changes in these. You can get a CD-Rom with the equations of the model to make up your own opinion. Additionally, the treatment of thresholds is new and intelligent. The emphasis on overshooting is very interesting, a point close to totally ignored in economic modelling. Whereas all economic growth models are dealing with long-run balanced growth path issues, here the authors stress that we might not have a long-run.
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