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Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions
 
 
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Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions [Englisch] [Gebundene Ausgabe]

John S. Hammond , Ralph L. Keeney , Howard Raiffa
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Produktinformation

  • Gebundene Ausgabe: 256 Seiten
  • Verlag: Mcgraw-Hill Professional; Auflage: illustrated edition (1. Oktober 1998)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • ISBN-10: 0875848575
  • ISBN-13: 978-0875848570
  • Größe und/oder Gewicht: 21,8 x 14,8 x 2,4 cm
  • Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 4.9 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (22 Kundenrezensionen)
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: Nr. 357.535 in Englische Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Englische Bücher)
  • Komplettes Inhaltsverzeichnis ansehen

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Produktbeschreibungen

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Have you ever hired someone only to regret your decision two months later? Or looked at your financial portfolio and wondered why you bought the stocks you did? In Smart Choices, authors John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, and Howard Raiffa take the guesswork out of the decision-making process and offer a systematic approach to making the right choice. Most of us have problems making decisions, because we've never learned how. The authors write:
Despite the importance of decision making to our lives, few of us ever receive any training in it. So we are left to learn from experience. But experience is a costly, inefficient teacher that teaches us bad habits along with good ones. Because decision situations vary so markedly, the experience of making one important decision often seems of little use when facing the next.
Smart Choices outlines eight elements involved in making the right decision, from identifying exactly what the decision is and specifying your objectives to considering risk tolerance and looking at how what you decide on today influences what you may decide in the future. The book is full of real-life situations and scenarios that effectively illustrate each element of a good decision. If you think the topic of making the right choice is mundane or a simple matter of common sense, then think again. Smart Choices will relieve you of the regret that so many of us carry because we didn't know how to "think it through." --Harry C. Edwards

From Booklist

The three authors, all of whom come from academic backgrounds and specialize in decision science, argue that "making smart choices is a fundamental life skill" that can be taught. They provide a practical model for decision making and demonstrate that it can be applied in both personal and business situations. They show that the key is to break the decision into its individual elements, identify those that are most important, and analyze potential outcomes. The authors also stress that decisions should be made before they turn into problems. Their so-called PROACTive approach can be broken down mnemonically. Identify the PRoblem, specify the Objectives, create Alternatives, understand the Consequences, and weigh the Trade-offs. Following these steps, one must clarify uncertainty, assess risks, and be aware of what other choices a decision might create. From choosing a career to planning an employee party, the authors use a wide range of examples to demonstrate their approach. David Rouse

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In diesem Buch (Mehr dazu)
Einleitungssatz
OUR DECISIONS SHAPE OUR LIVES. Lesen Sie die erste Seite
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1 von 1 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Von D. Smith
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
As valuable as information is, it is surprising that so little thought goes into the application of information. The authors of this book delve into the science of decision making to offer several comprehensive models with helpful explanations and illustrations. It reads very simply, which was a turnoff for some of my friends, but the end result is a valuable education in one of the most important aspects of our lives. The material in here will be original unless you've already studied the art/science of decision making, and it is not material that is intuitive, or 'common sense'. Following the advice in this book, I quit my job with nothing lined up one year ago, and it was one of the better career moves I've made.
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Von Ein Kunde
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
When I saw this book advertised I was stuck wrestling with a major career change decision. I had been worrying about making the right decision literally for months, as my whole future seemed to be at stake. I worked right through the book in a few days and came out with a range of options with which I am happy. Most importantly, I have greatly increased my confidence in my decision and am better able to articulate my reasoning. This confidence will help me come across well in interviews and improve my chances of getting the right job. I feel relaxed about moving to the next set of decisions- which company to work for.

I found this book accessible, practical and useful. Most impressive was its holistic approach to decision-making, ranging from solid theory (clearly presented with realistic examples you can relate to), through practical tips (like "remember that your decision cannot be better than your best alternative") to a well-presented chapter on psychological traps to which people often fall victim. You will recognize many of these from your experience at work.

The first five chapters should be readily understandable by anyone. The next four ("Tradeoffs", "Uncertainty", "Risk Tolerance" and "Linked Decisions") are more complex. Although the topics are explained in a prose style (with realistic examples) the material is unquestionably heavier going and requires careful study, particularly for someone who hasn't been exposed to decision trees and probability and statistics. I believe that anyone with some high school math will be OK- just be prepared to put your thinking hat on. It's worth the effort.

After reading this book you will have a toolkit that you can carry around with you to improve my decision-making. In the office, these techniques should help you work with your bosses and colleagues to reach better decisions and avoid some mistakes. In your life as a whole, you should make smarter decisions and be happier as a result.

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Wise Decision Making 9. April 2009
Format:Taschenbuch
The ability to make smart choices is a fundamental life skill and this is a no-nonsense and practical book written by three academics. If you're looking for a guide to making better decisions, whether in private life or business, look no further. The set-up of the book is brilliant. It starts qualitatively with stating the problem, objectives, consequences, alternatives etc. and leads to more quantitative tools incl. my favoured decision tree within uncertainty and risk tolerance. The final chapter says it all what this fine book is about; The Wise Decision Maker.
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Die neuesten Kundenrezensionen
Excellent guide
Eine grossartige Anleitung zur strukturierten Entscheidungsfindung. Hilft den Entscheidungsprozess zu formalisieren und zu objekivieren. Lesen Sie weiter...
Veröffentlicht am 3. Januar 2008 von M. Kripel
Best Practices for Personal Decision Making
I was taught all of the techniques described in this book in their most complex form. I loved the ideas when I first learned them, and have used them with great success for the... Lesen Sie weiter...
Veröffentlicht am 12. April 2000 von Donald Mitchell
A useful guide for systematic decision-making
This is an excellent book. The title may make this appear to be one of the too-numerous mass-market books which claim to offer advice on business and personal decision-making but... Lesen Sie weiter...
Am 29. Januar 2000 veröffentlicht
True to its title: a practical guide
This is a true step by step practical guide to decision making. The style is clear, and the practical cases studied are taken from everyone's day to day life, so easily... Lesen Sie weiter...
Veröffentlicht am 17. Januar 2000 von Antoine Bertier
Excellent summary of a difficult subject
I have read many books on decision analysis - however, the 3 authors managed to condense the most relevant points in one book, without academic speak. Lesen Sie weiter...
Am 1. Juli 1999 veröffentlicht
THE guide to decision-making
When I started reading this book, I was bored and disappointed with the examples. The process of decision making -- problem, objectives, alternatives, consequences, and tradeoffs... Lesen Sie weiter...
Am 12. April 1999 veröffentlicht
FOLLOW THE YELLOW BRICK ROAD TO BETTER DECISIONS
Smart Choices is one of the two best books I have read in the last six months. First, because people have trouble making decisions, and second, because people usually make the... Lesen Sie weiter...
Am 31. März 1999 veröffentlicht
Put this one at the top of your reading list
I had the pleasure of reading this book last year as assigned material in a graduate business course taught by Ralph Keeney. Lesen Sie weiter...
Veröffentlicht am 22. Februar 1999 von epowers@dttus.com
SUPERB BOOK FOR PERSONAL (NOT BUSINESS) DECISION-MAKING
I think this is a great book, but I disagree that it is a primary tool for executives as the last reviewer suggests. Lesen Sie weiter...
Am 15. Februar 1999 veröffentlicht
Highly recommend this book for executives
As an executive I am faced with making key decisions almost every day. In many complex decisions there is almost always conflict between logical analysis vs. Lesen Sie weiter...
Veröffentlicht am 11. Februar 1999 von Leonard W. Pagon, Jr
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