- Taschenbuch: 330 Seiten
- Verlag: Profile Books (25. März 2010)
- Sprache: Englisch
- ISBN-10: 1846681448
- ISBN-13: 978-1846681448
- Größe und/oder Gewicht: 23,6 x 15,3 x 2,7 cm
- Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 5.0 von 5 Sternen Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (1 Kundenrezension)
- Amazon Bestseller-Rang: Nr. 322.859 in Englische Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Englische Bücher)
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Produktbeschreibungen
Kurzbeschreibung
This title explains demography and politics in the twenty-first century. It may be that Richard Dawkins and Christopher Hitchens have won the argument for secularism with the majority of the West. But the facts point in the other direction: what no one has noticed is that far from declining, religious populations are actually multiplying. This extraordinary demographic phenomenon indicates that the more religious people are, the more children they will have. Within Judaism, the Ultra-Orthodox will almost certainly achieve a majority status over their liberal counterparts this century. Evangelical and neo-traditional Christians will follow suit and Islamist Muslims are not far behind. Not only will the religious eventually triumph over the non-religious, but it is those who are the most extreme in their beliefs who have the largest families. Drawing on extensive demographic research, and considering questions of multiculturalism, nationalism and terrorism, Kaufmann examines the implications of the decline in liberal secularism as religious conservatism rises - and what this will mean for the future of western modernity.
Über den Autor
Eric Kaufmann is a fellow at the Belfer Centre, Harvard University, and former Reader in Politics and Sociology at Birkbeck. He is a frequent contributor to Prospect and other publications.
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2 von 2 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Format:Taschenbuch
Studying the (on average) higher fertility of religious populations from an evolutionary perspective for some years, I have been somewhat sceptical about applying such observations in the contemporary field of political analysis. But Eric Kaufmann did the job. Making clear his own, rather secular position, he is nevertheless avoiding biasses or polemics, but is informing the reader. He manages to do this by patiently combining available demographic data, historical descriptions and case studies on a wide range of populations as i.e. Haredim Jews in Israel, Mormons in the US, strong Calvinists in the Netherlands, Salafist movements in the Muslim world and many more. Although he is discussing projections and problems, Kaufmann doesn't fall into the trap of mindless alarmism, carefully weighing further options for secular und moderate religious movements, too. Although my interest started from the purely empirical and evolutionary side, I began to like the book for its political and philosophic clout in presenting tough questions and tentatively probing for new answers. For almost any reader, this will be a captivating and thought-provoking read and for scientists from different fields a chance to discuss, test and revise or expand sound observations and hypotheses.
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17 von 17 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Astonishing
7. April 2010
Format:Taschenbuch
Studying the (on average) higher fertility of religious populations from an evolutionary perspective for some years, I have been somewhat sceptical about applying such observations in the contemporary field of political analysis. But Eric Kaufmann did the job. Making clear his own, rather secular position, he is nevertheless avoiding biasses or polemics, but is informing the reader. He does this by patiently combining available demographic data, historical descriptions and case studies on a wide range of populations as i.e. Haredim Jews in Israel, Mormons in the US, strong Calvinists in the Netherlands, Salafist movements in the Muslim world and many more. Although he is discussing projections and problems, Kaufmann doesn't fall into the trap of mindless alarmism, carefully weighing further options for secular und moderate religious movements, too. Although my interest started from the purely empirical side, I began to like the book for its political and philosophic clout in presenting tough questions and tentatively probing for new answers. For almost any reader, this will be a captivating and thought-provoking read and for scientists from different fields a chance to discuss, test and revise or expand sound observations and hypotheses.
14 von 15 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Does the future belong to those who are having the most children now?
4. April 2010
Format:Taschenbuch
The fundamental thesis of this book is that the religious are going to inherit the earth. The secular liberal democratic societies now tolerate fundamentalism in their midst. The secular liberal democratic populations are at less than replacement level. As opposed to them the closed religious groups are multiplying at very rapid rates with five and more children per family. This work studies the populations of Israel, the United States and Europe.
It contends that the Haredim in Israel ( The ultra-orthodox religious population) will be a majority in 2050. It contends that extremist religious groups in the United States, such as the Amish and Mormons will be a far larger share of the total population than they are now. This is happening as America is according to the author going through a delayed secularization process which is making a larger percentage of its population more secular than before. The author also deals with the growing insular Islamic population in Europe though he seems not to sympathize with the claims of Melanie Phillips, Bruce Bawer, Mark Steyn and others about this population converting the continent into Eurabia.
Is he right?Is the world moving to having a larger percentage of 'too true believers'?
Of all the societies studied I know most about what is going on in Israel. It is correct to say that the ultra- orthodox are a rapidly increasing population. I am not sure however it is right to say that their growth will continue at the present pace, that other groups including the more moderate Orthodox, will not work to maintain their own positions in the society. Israel which has been a society desiring immigration may too be able to increase its secular population that way, though at the moment this looks unlikely.
So I cannot really judge the validity of the overall thesis. What I can say is that this is a very interesting and thought - provoking work, one which should be read by all those interested in the overall condition of humanity.
It contends that the Haredim in Israel ( The ultra-orthodox religious population) will be a majority in 2050. It contends that extremist religious groups in the United States, such as the Amish and Mormons will be a far larger share of the total population than they are now. This is happening as America is according to the author going through a delayed secularization process which is making a larger percentage of its population more secular than before. The author also deals with the growing insular Islamic population in Europe though he seems not to sympathize with the claims of Melanie Phillips, Bruce Bawer, Mark Steyn and others about this population converting the continent into Eurabia.
Is he right?Is the world moving to having a larger percentage of 'too true believers'?
Of all the societies studied I know most about what is going on in Israel. It is correct to say that the ultra- orthodox are a rapidly increasing population. I am not sure however it is right to say that their growth will continue at the present pace, that other groups including the more moderate Orthodox, will not work to maintain their own positions in the society. Israel which has been a society desiring immigration may too be able to increase its secular population that way, though at the moment this looks unlikely.
So I cannot really judge the validity of the overall thesis. What I can say is that this is a very interesting and thought - provoking work, one which should be read by all those interested in the overall condition of humanity.
6 von 6 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
What the younger may live to see
5. April 2011
Format:Taschenbuch
The idea that secularists have few or no children, that the religious have lots of children, and that this will lead to a lessening of the influence of secularism, had occurred to me from time to time, especially with regard to Europe. I am grateful to Eric Kaufmann for clothing this idea with facts and figures, and producing a very thought-provoking, as well as readable, book. The author's assertions and conclusions, especially in his last chapter, will give rise to dispute, but they cannot be ignored.
The question in the title, "Shall the religious inherit the earth?", is answered in the book's final sentence: "The religious shall inherit the earth."
I tried to figure out the author's personal religious viewpoint, and I came to feel that he believes in the possibility of a God of some sort; but he is basically a secularist, with the standard secularist outlook on such things as abortion and gay rights, and even global warming. This means that he cannot be accused of promoting a piece of religious propaganda - in fact, he seems distressed by his conclusions.
His principal focus is on three areas: the religious right in the US, fundamentalist Islam, and ultra-orthodox Judaism. This last area is particularly fascinating and contains much that those outside the Jewish world will be unfamiliar with.
There is surprisingly little mention of Catholicism, and in fact he seems to make an error regarding the Catholic Church. On page 23 he says, referring to Vatican II, that it "helped bring Church policy on contraception and birth control into line with the liberal practice of many modern Catholics...". This is completely wrong. Has he never heard of Paul VI's encyclical Humanae vitae, which caused such an uproar?
He mentions (page 94) the American patriarchal movement, Quiverfull, and quoting the work of the journalist Kathryn Joyce, says that Quiverfull rejects even the rhythm method of birth control. But does anyone still use the rhythm method? As I understand, the Billings method has long ago overtaken the rhythm method as a far more reliable technique of natural birth control.
Secularists ought to read the book to gain some idea of what may be coming. If they are older they will not live to see it come to fruition, but if they are younger, they very well may. Nevertheless, it is worth bearing in mind that history contains many sudden and unforeseen changes in direction.
The question in the title, "Shall the religious inherit the earth?", is answered in the book's final sentence: "The religious shall inherit the earth."
I tried to figure out the author's personal religious viewpoint, and I came to feel that he believes in the possibility of a God of some sort; but he is basically a secularist, with the standard secularist outlook on such things as abortion and gay rights, and even global warming. This means that he cannot be accused of promoting a piece of religious propaganda - in fact, he seems distressed by his conclusions.
His principal focus is on three areas: the religious right in the US, fundamentalist Islam, and ultra-orthodox Judaism. This last area is particularly fascinating and contains much that those outside the Jewish world will be unfamiliar with.
There is surprisingly little mention of Catholicism, and in fact he seems to make an error regarding the Catholic Church. On page 23 he says, referring to Vatican II, that it "helped bring Church policy on contraception and birth control into line with the liberal practice of many modern Catholics...". This is completely wrong. Has he never heard of Paul VI's encyclical Humanae vitae, which caused such an uproar?
He mentions (page 94) the American patriarchal movement, Quiverfull, and quoting the work of the journalist Kathryn Joyce, says that Quiverfull rejects even the rhythm method of birth control. But does anyone still use the rhythm method? As I understand, the Billings method has long ago overtaken the rhythm method as a far more reliable technique of natural birth control.
Secularists ought to read the book to gain some idea of what may be coming. If they are older they will not live to see it come to fruition, but if they are younger, they very well may. Nevertheless, it is worth bearing in mind that history contains many sudden and unforeseen changes in direction.
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