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Rationality for Mortals : How People Cope with Uncertainty: How People Cope with Uncertainty (Evolution and Cognition) (Englisch) Taschenbuch – 16. April 2010

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Rationality for Mortals : How People Cope with Uncertainty: How People Cope with Uncertainty (Evolution and Cognition) + Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty
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This book should be read bu all scientists interested in understanding human behaviour on decision making, or in knowing the limites of human inference under uncertainty in order to provide statistical information in an understandable manner. Marta Posada, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine andere Ausgabe: Gebundene Ausgabe .


Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume (which follows on a previous collection, Adaptive Thinking, also published by OUP) collects his most recent articles, looking at how people use "fast and frugal heuristics" to calculate probability and risk and make decisions. It includes a newly writen, substantial introduction, and the articles have been revised and updated where appropriate. This volume should appeal, like the earlier volumes, to a broad mixture of cognitive psychologists, philosophers, economists, and others who study decision making. -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine andere Ausgabe: Gebundene Ausgabe .

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8 von 8 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Useful, well written, readable, enjoyable--and very probably true 8. Dezember 2011
Von Epictetus (Hong Kong) - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format: Taschenbuch Verifizierter Kauf
I read this author's _Reckoning with Risk_ some time ago and found it worthwhile. This is an even better book, despite being an earlier one (2000) than that (2003).

Like evolution, probability is a slippery, subtle subject and some of its main principles and their ramifications can be hard to grasp, even for intelligent people. This book is one of the best out there for explaining some of the fundamental concepts in uncertainty and probability. Gigerenzer uses some striking historical examples to do this. One of these is about John Arbuthnot (1710) who used the concept that we now call the null hypothesis to prove the existence of God. Gigerenzer observes that "Arbuthnot's test illuminates the possibilities and limitations of a null hypothesis.... Divine providence always wins if the null hypothesis loses."

As well as explaining some key concepts such as the null hypothesis, this books shows them in action, as in the Chapter 9 "Understanding Risks in Healthcare."

I recommend this book to anyone who wants to improve or check their understanding of some of the fundamental concepts and also gaps in our current understanding of uncertainty and probability.
5 von 5 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Elegant and Accessible 20. April 2013
Von Colin E Rumbley - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format: Kindle Edition Verifizierter Kauf
Having read much of Gigerenzer as well as Kahneman's work, I can say that this volume would make a great introduction for someone interested in heuristics. A very accessible presentation of these ideas. Of course, if you are new to statistics, there are some technical sections that may spark further investigation. Heuristics is an academic enterprise, not a casual philosophical idea. Complete comprehension the first time through should not be the expectation - what I think is at the root of some of the criticisms here. If you find this frustrating reading, try slogging through the academic papers on which the chapters are based!

Rationality for Mortals combines plain english sections with more technical supporting sections. I like this approach for the same reason I like Antonio Damasio's popular books on the brain. Some of the jargon is over my head, but the rest is readable and inspiring enough to welcome the challenge.
0 von 1 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Love to see this book in Audio/Audible format ... 19. August 2013
Von BruceK - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format: Taschenbuch
Why is there always a button for requesting a Kindle version of books, but not one for an Audio version of books?

I got the authors "Gut Feelings" which I thought was great in audiobook format, and would like to read this in audiobook format too - consider this as a request I could not submit any other way.
2 von 16 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Phew. 27. Juni 2011
Von Debra M. Ridley - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format: Taschenbuch Verifizierter Kauf
I have read this text from cover to cover and must say that it is no easy read despite the fact that I studied this subject quite exstensively
I think part of the problem is that the author is rather too argumentitive, which results in certain areas of the book appearing over complicated.
1 von 18 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Too fast and too frustrating 22. Februar 2012
Von Soren Wenstop - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format: Kindle Edition
Reading this (as far as my increasing sense of annoyance permitted) was not an experience worth sharing. The author is mudling through with remarkably little analytical clarity.
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