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Norm Chronicles (Englisch) Taschenbuch – 30. Mai 2013

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Taschenbuch, 30. Mai 2013
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  • Taschenbuch: 336 Seiten
  • Verlag: Profile Books (30. Mai 2013)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • ISBN-10: 1846686202
  • ISBN-13: 978-1846686207
  • Größe und/oder Gewicht: 13,5 x 2,4 x 21,6 cm
  • Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 5.0 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (3 Kundenrezensionen)
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: Nr. 143.118 in Fremdsprachige Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Fremdsprachige Bücher)
  • Komplettes Inhaltsverzeichnis ansehen

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A very funny book ... this is one of those maths books that claims to be self-help, and on the evidence presented here, we are in dire need of it Telegraph Praise for Joe, the Only Boy in the World: 'From this careful, serious book emerges a man with a quick wit and far-seeing eye for what makes life so peculiar ... Joe stands out as a work of rare enlightenment Seven A witty, insightful, educational and wholly original book - and a wonderful achievement. Read it! -- Tim Harford, author of "The Undercover Economist" and presenter of "More or Less" on BBC Radio 4 Fascinating -- John Harding Daily Mail A fast-paced, whizz-bang style -- Iain Finlayson The Times Helping people make sense of the barrage of confusing (and often misrepresented) statistics that riddle every day is a noble goal. Making the process enjoyable is a real achievement. The Economist The statistics are presented with admirable lucidity, using an ingenious method devised by the authors, and may serve to reassure more neurotic readers ... Witty and illuminating, The Norm Chronicles is essential reading for anyone wanting to know whether they should try skydiving, or accept that third glass of wine -- Orlando Bird Financial Times Illuminating ... eye-catching ... a real achievement The Economist

Über den Autor und weitere Mitwirkende

Michael Blastland is an author, journalist, and BBC Radio 4 broadcaster. He co-authored, with Andrew Dilnot, Profile's best-selling The Tiger that Isn't [9781861978394]. David Spiegelhalter OBE is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge. He is a fellow of Churchill College, Cambridge and the Royal Society.

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Die hilfreichsten Kundenrezensionen

Format: Taschenbuch Verifizierter Kauf
The book goes through many risk bearing activities and events with real world statistics and manages to give a balanced analysis of each of those topics from various points of view. Evoked a lot of critical thinking about my view of the subject.
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An easily accessable tour on risks and how to think about risk and probabilities.
Equally good reading for lay persons as for professionals who want to improve their communication on risks.
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Von roger garnett am 1. September 2013
Format: Kindle Edition
Having worked for several years in the fields of explosive safety and IT security, I found this book an excellent summary of much that I learned - It made me laugh too.
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Die hilfreichsten Kundenrezensionen auf (beta) 48 Rezensionen
10 von 10 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Risk Perception: More of Mind than of Math 17. Juni 2014
Von George Poirier - Veröffentlicht auf
Format: Taschenbuch
In twenty-seven chapters the authors discuss various aspects of risk in our daily lives – from birth to old age. One such topic is addressed per chapter. Each chapter begins with a page or two of fiction in which the same characters interact in some situation that helps to introduce the reader to the particular topic about to be discussed.

Although many numbers are quoted in this book – including some on probability - no actual math is presented regarding how they were derived. The reason for this is that in most cases, the numbers were quoted from tabulations, e.g., number of people of a certain age group killed due to some activity in a certain country in a certain time period. Much space is devoted towards psychology, perception, mind games, etc., pertaining to various risks. Number comparisons are consistently made between the United Kingdom and the USA.

I found this book to contain a lot of information. I did have a bit of trouble following some of the fictional sections at the beginning of the chapters, i.e., several terms and phrases used were much more British than North American thus requiring me to re-read several paragraphs (while scratching my head). Otherwise, the prose is clear, friendly, lively and engaging.

This book can be enjoyed by any interested reader in search of risk-related data. However, I believe that psychology enthusiasts may wind up enjoying it the most.
4 von 4 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Norm Chronicles ~ A Fun Look at Chances of Dying 28. Juli 2014
Von James Banzer - Veröffentlicht auf
Format: Taschenbuch
Authors Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter examine the chances of dying from a wide variety of causes. You might think this sounds morbid. Think again. These guys find fun ways to play with numbers. Who has not wondered how their life will end? Everyone is mortal, and Michael and David delight in the subject. They examine a wide variety of terminal situations.

Since you are reading this, it's obvious that you did not die while emerging from the birth canal. That happens to be one of the many ways of dying that they examine. Since death while your mother was delivering you didn't happen, you may want to guess your lifespan by considering the biblical allotment of three scores and ten. That might not work for you though. Our lives are becoming longer on average.

The book deals with murder and suicide. Chances of facing terminal situations because of breast cancer for women, or prostate cancer for men are covered. Skydiving and flying are looked at. You name the possible causes of death. They are probably covered in some way in the course of the book. There's surprisingly well-balanced and detailed statistical data from both the United States and the United Kingdom.

If you are wondering why the book is called The Norm Chronicles, here is your answer. Norm is a guy named Norman. Of course since he is Norm, he has to be normal. He is talked about from his time in childhood all the way well into his adulthood. He is just your average sort of guy. You will meet other characters who are not so normal. Their names are just as intriguing as Norm's. See what I mean when I allude to this being a fun book?

This is something worth your time, and you will learn things you never knew before. I got my copy through Goodreads First Reads, and found every minute with it to be highly enjoyable.
8 von 9 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
well written and thought provoking 14. Juli 2013
Von snowy - Veröffentlicht auf
Format: Kindle Edition Verifizierter Kauf
A most interesting combination of fiction and nonfiction. Part math, part philosophy, and part psychology, all presented in a most enchanting way.
4 von 4 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Excellent Read. 27. Juli 2013
Von Alex McCutcheon - Veröffentlicht auf
Format: Taschenbuch Verifizierter Kauf
Although the book was written in the UK there are many direct references to the USA. However, almost all of the stastics presented can be directly related to lifestyles in the US given the many similaraties between the two countries. An easy read explaining statistics and how such information can be framed, that is manipulated, for maximum sensationalism. A real treasure trove for trivia nuts.
3 von 3 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
Important 29. August 2013
Von ubpdqn - Veröffentlicht auf
Format: Taschenbuch Verifizierter Kauf
This is an important book and fits comfortably with "Thinking, fast and slow", "Black Swan" and "The Signal and the Noise".

The authors explore the evaluation and communication of risk through fictional characters: Norm, Prudence and the Kelvins and their journey's through life. Norm is the average man who uses reason and probability/statistics to traverse the challenges of life. Prudence is extremely risk averse and views the world through a lens of fear. The Kelvins are the risk-takers, the daredevils. Each chapter is themed on an important part of everyday life associated with risk. The chapter begins with a vignette in the lives of the characters, The vignette is followed by a clear, extremely interesting and sometimes provocative look at the data.

This book is brave in the scope of issues it covers and its honest discussion of the tension between our fast and slow thinking aspects of our brains (to use Kahneman's characterization). Topics such as transport, crime, sex, , hralthcare, unemployment, aging and death. The issues of framing, availability bias, our propensity to over and under-estimate risks are covered well.

The complex philosophical issues of what is probability, and do humans act rationally and the complexity of decision making are discussed. The authors arrive at a compassionate pragmatic view that probability is a tool that is our best bet for an event based on the available information that can be updated with new information. A tool that we can use to deal with uncertainty. The authors demonstrates a number of complex tools in understandable methods: the power of graphically visualizing data, the importance of realizing the expected values versus observed (example of Poisson model of murder rates), and the limitations our predictions.

I admit that I was not as much interested in the fictional narrative as the discussion of the data and its interpretation and limitation., This is an important, brave, at times humorous and clearly written book that should help us all think more clearly and risk and consequences.
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