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Global Turning Points [Kindle Edition]

Mauro F. Guillén , Emilio Ontiveros

Kindle-Preis: EUR 14,74 Inkl. MwSt. und kostenloser drahtloser Lieferung über Amazon Whispernet

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'This book is a must-read for managers who don't want to be caught by surprise by changes in the global economy, swings in world politics or unprecedented transformations in social mores. Global Turning Points offers a much-needed guide to navigate through the heightened volatility of the business environment.' Moisés Naím, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and former Editor-in-Chief, Foreign Policy magazine

'For those who believe that the world is flat, or moving smoothly in that direction, this wide-ranging book provides a very readable overview of the major global challenges that we face - challenges that it is urgent to address.' Pankaj Ghemawat, Anselmo Rubiralta Professor of Global Strategy, IESE Business School, and author of World 3.0

'This book sheds light on the confusing perspectives of the global economy in the wake of a major financial crisis. It is a much welcome, necessary contribution by two leading scholars who thread scholarly rigor with a deep understanding of the business world. Mandatory reading for professionals and students who are interested in the real economy.' Manuel Castells, Professor Emeritus of Planning and Sociology, University of California, Berkeley

'This book provides fundamental insights into the changing of the guard in the global economy and the global system of states, analyzing the rise of China and the other emerging giants and what the United States and Europe should do about it.' Javier Solana, Former Secretary-General of NATO, and EU High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy

'This book sets forth the serious challenges facing policymakers and managers with respect to key global issues such as climate change and the viability of defined benefit pension schemes. It is a triumph and should be read by everyone concerned about the future of the world.' Lady Barbara Thomas Judge, Chairman, UK Pension Protection Fund, and former Chairman, UK Atomic Energy Authority

'Academics Mauro F. Guillén and Emilio Ontiveros write in the introduction to their provocative book Global Turning Points that they have worked across disciplines and countries in gathering information on which to base their 'turning points'. As they make clear, turning points and tipping points are not the same. They are moments of radical change, but they do not mean that something is happening for the better or the worse. They just indicate change. And in the twenty-first century, the one thing their work does make clear is that change is going to happen to us all whether we like it or not. So the more prepared we are and the more pragmatic our responses, the better the outcomes might be.' Beijing Review (

'In this engaging and ambitious book, Guillén and Ontiveros reflect on the economic, social, environmental, and political challenges that the world is bound to face in the twenty-first century … The book is as much global in approach as it is in focus, and the skilfulness with which the authors weave so many disparate themes together makes for a truly stimulating read, which ultimately amounts to an impressive snapshot of the world in the new century that everyone should take note of. Simply put, this is at once sophisticated, educational, and consequential scholarship that should appeal to a great variety of readers.' Administrative Science Quarterly

Über das Produkt

The world is replete with uncertainty and complexity. This book examines major global turning points with an emphasis on actionable issues, deploying the tools of economics, sociology and political science to provide an analytical perspective on both the problems and opportunities facing business in the modern world.


  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • Dateigröße: 2833 KB
  • Seitenzahl der Print-Ausgabe: 194 Seiten
  • Gleichzeitige Verwendung von Geräten: Bis zu 4 Geräte gleichzeitig, je nach vom Verlag festgelegter Grenze
  • Verlag: Cambridge University Press; Auflage: 1 (23. November 2012)
  • Verkauf durch: Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Text-to-Speech (Vorlesemodus): Aktiviert
  • X-Ray:
  • Word Wise: Nicht aktiviert
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: #341.971 Bezahlt in Kindle-Shop (Siehe Top 100 Bezahlt in Kindle-Shop)

  •  Ist der Verkauf dieses Produkts für Sie nicht akzeptabel?

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Die hilfreichsten Kundenrezensionen auf (beta) 4.5 von 5 Sternen  13 Rezensionen
3 von 3 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen Inevitable changes that require new methods in businesses and government 13. Januar 2013
Von laurens van den muyzenberg - Veröffentlicht auf
The authors have done an excellent job in presenting the challenges that the world faces with the risks involved. These challenges are illustrated with charts and diagrams that leave you in no doubt that these risks are real. The seven challenges are, an out of balance economy, rapid rise of non-Western multi-nationals, demographics, democracy weaknesses, rising inequality inside countries, sustainability and global power distribution. Many other books cover these subjects too.
This book is unique from two points of view. First, each subject is covered in only 20 to 30 pages that enable the reader to gain an overview of the seven factors remarkably quickly. Second, it allows the authors to explain how these seven can reinforce each other upwards and downwards, The last chapter presents what can be done to "master " these interactions from leading to disaster with four "gear boxes" being, the political representation system, the capability of the government, the interaction between states and the labor market. "Gearbox" refers to the ability to select the right speed concerning external circumstances, like driving uphill, (facing high unemployment), quite an original idea.
The chapters differ. Each chapter starts by summarizing the different views of different experts in the subject. In some cases the authors present their conclusion in others not. For example chapter seven about demographics shows that in 2060 half the population in the world will live in Africa, a continent with by far the lowest income per capita to day. Does that mean businesses should invest in Africa because the market is growing so rapidly or will it lead to failed states unable to cope with this increase? No conclusion.
On the other hand in the chapter about global power they refer to the many specialists that predict the future dominance of China and the many the future dominance of the USA. They analyze the arguments and conclude that the world will be multi-polar at least until the end of this century.
The financial market is not a gearbox on its own. It has a decisive influence on the other gearboxes. They conclude that the origin of the last crisis was the lack of proper regulation and the absence of effective supervision that led to the propagation of the crisis throughout the world and that as yet no viable solution is being developed.
The authors present a "model" of what the key factors are that will determine the future of the world, emphasizing complexity, with many uncertainties, that make mathematical modeling and probability calculations impossible. They believe that people in business and government should be aware of these challenges and will help in making more informed decisions. I agree.
3 von 3 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
4.0 von 5 Sternen New century, new priorities, new realities 30. März 2013
Von Simple Way - Veröffentlicht auf
Format:Taschenbuch|Vine Kundenrezension eines kostenfreien Produkts (Was ist das?)
This book's analyses of the driving forces behind and potential consequences of several global, game-changing, and interrelated economic, societal, and political phenomena will help policymakers and business leaders better understand how to cope with the new priorities and realities arising from the examined phenomena.

The discussions include a wide variety of interconnected topics, and put some of the complexities and uncertainties involved in grappling with a set of related problems into perspective. According to the authors, for example, while global trading has reduced the wealth gap among countries, within many countries, the disparity between rich and poor has grown. Coupled with a growing population aging problem in many countries, the data are indicating an urgent need for both governments and businesses to come together to provide employment opportunities for both the young and the aging, who seem to be the two groups suffering the most economically. But since there are still many things we don't know about aging, governments and businesses are still studying how best to move forward. Meanwhile, if we can't find workable solutions to these problems quickly enough, the problems can morph into something even more serious.

On a more positive note, some of the discussed challenges actually represent opportunities. For example, with many developing countries becoming wealthier, the emerging middle classes in those countries will have new needs and wants, creating opportunities for businesses to compete in these new markets.

Overall, I thought the analyses were good, but some were better and / or more detailed than others depending on the topic. If you read the news regularly, many of the conclusions drawn by the authors will not come as a surprise.
2 von 2 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen A down to Earth analysis of seven important factors in this 21st century 6. April 2013
Von Neal Reynolds - Veröffentlicht auf
Format:Taschenbuch|Vine Kundenrezension eines kostenfreien Produkts (Was ist das?)
After twelve years, there are certainly several noticeable trends indicating the challenges facing us. This book gives each challenge a chapter, and it's easy to see an interrelationship among them. The author is optimistic in seeing each challenge as surmountable, and his viewpoints on dealing with them are quite to the point. This is an important book to be read and studied by people from all fields including business, health, ecology, etc. The premises are such that I personally feel disappointed that I, considering my age, will not be seeing that much of this new century in order to see how these challenges are met. This is however an important book for the reader who wants to remain informed. It's concise, easy to understand, and bound to provoke your thinking. Very highly recommended to all, especially to high school and college students who will be playing roles in the century's development.
2 von 2 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen The dismal science with an interdisciplinary approach 30. März 2013
Von Citizen John - Veröffentlicht auf
Format:Taschenbuch|Vine Kundenrezension eines kostenfreien Produkts (Was ist das?)
This book seeks to use interdisciplinary tools to identify and measure macro trends. By the time I finished reading, I felt that I understood the big global problems threatening civilizations with the exception of natural disasters.

The interdisciplinary tools come from fields of study including economics, socio-demographics, political science and geopolitics. These fields, taken together, show more dimensions of the major issues facing governments and economic actors. Some aha! moments of brilliant discovery manifested. Out of this doesn't come assurances that things will be fine, unfortunately. Instead we get probabilities and indicators for systemic disruptions.

All the macro trends have economic implications, and they're mostly looking negative. This is probably the lure of seeking a future driven by technological change since it doesn't look as if miracles will emerge from anywhere else.
1 von 1 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen Academic Look at Problems 12. Mai 2013
Von Ashley Mott - Veröffentlicht auf
Format:Taschenbuch|Vine Kundenrezension eines kostenfreien Produkts (Was ist das?)
Global Turning Points is very interesting in that it makes excellent use of being an academic/professional publication by presenting problems, or challenges, in a very straight-forward manner without leaning in to emotional discussions while talking about hot-button topics such as poverty, wealth inequality, etc. It presents the gist of ideas (if you care to deduce) that would help keep businesses healthy long-term but doesn't shroud them in "right/wrong" terms -- just practical ones.

However, in its viewing things through a long-term global lens, it manages to ignore the greed that makes businesses focus on huge short-term profits versus great long-term profits. As one other reviewer pointed out, the people in business who could act on these problems now already know these things and prefer to ignore them until a breaking point is reached. Instead, this book should guide the next generation of business leaders to think about things differently if they have the same playing field to work with -- or should the breaking point not be reached before they are in charge.
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