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Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies (Complex Networks and Dynamic Systems) (Englisch) Gebundene Ausgabe – 27. November 2012

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Foresight is an area within Futures Studies that focuses on critical thinking concerning long term developments, whether within the public sector or in industry and management, and is something of a sub-section of complexity and network science. This book examines developments in foresight methodologies and relates in its greater part to the work done in the context of the COSTA22 network of the EU on Foresight Methodologies. Foresight is a professional practice that supports significant decisions, and as such it needs to be more assured of its claims to knowledge (methodology). Foresight is practiced across many domains and is not the preserve of specialized ‘futurists’, or indeed of foresight specialists. However, the disciplines of foresight are not well articulated or disseminated across domains, leading to re-inventions and practice that does not make best use of experience in other domains.


The methodological development of foresight is an important task that aims at strengthening the pool of the tools available for application, thereby empowering the actors involved in foresight practice. Elaborating further on methodological issues, such as those presented in the present book, enables the actors involved in foresight to begin to critique current practice from this perspective and, thirdly, to begin to design foresight practice. The present trends towards methodological concerns indicates a move from ‘given’ expert-predicted futures to one in which futures are nurtured through a dialogue among “stakeholders.” The book has four parts, each elaborating on a set of aspects of foresight methodologies. After an introductory section, Part II considers theorizing about foresight methodologies. Part III covers system content issues, and Part IV presents foresight tools and approaches.

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HASH(0x93eddb94) von 5 Sternen spectrum of knowledge 4. Oktober 2014
Von Matt Mayevsky - Veröffentlicht auf
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For a long time I gather materials about Foresight Methodologies to my planned publication. There are few books that cover this subject extensively. Typically, authors of studies to focus attention on one selected method. Therefore, my expectations regarding to the collective work edited by Maria Giaoutzi, Bartolomeo Sapio were sizable.

"Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies" consists of 18 articles written by different authors. The whole is organized in four parts. From theory to practical applications. To me the most interesting articles are:
"Classification of Tools and Approaches Applicable in Foresight Studies" by Jan Erik Karlsen and Hanne Karlsen. Interesting discussion on the nature of foeresight methodologies, with particular emphasis on ontological and epsitemological assumptions.
"New Emerging Issues and Future as Wild Cards Shakers and Shapers" by Victor van Rij. Great, vividly written article about the importance of wild cards.
"Forms of Reasoning in Pattern Management and in Strategic Intelligence" by Tuomo Kuosa. Tuomo is an expert with a passion and talent, and all the text I read with great interest.
"Scenario Planning as a Tool in Foresight Exercises: The LIPSOR Approach" by Anastasia Stratigea and Maria Giaoutzi. A wonderful example of the application of morphological methods developed by Michael Godet.

Each article brings significant value to the foresight methodologies. I miss just one. Articles in the section containing the practical application of foresight methodologies emphasize attention to the development of regions. I'm interested in more use of Foresight Methodologies in business. But this does not detract from the value of "Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies". I highly and sincerely recommend.
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