Calculated Bets
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You could just as easily call this book How to Bet at Jai-Alai and Win! But that's only half the story. While Calculated Bets might indeed help you make a buck down at the fronton, it's as much concerned with the power of mathematical modeling and computer programming. The story of accomplished mathematician Steven Skiena's longtime obsession with this obscure Basque sport, Calculated Bets uses straightforward mathematics and real-world examples to divine the statistical mysteries behind playing--and, more important, wagering on--jai alai. (Which goes a long way toward explaining why Cambridge University Press is publishing what's basically a book about gambling.)
A self-styled "mild-mannered professor," the conversational Skiena (The Algorithm Design Manual) delivers on his book's many promises, from explaining how mathematical models are "designed, built, and validated" to providing lucid discussions of such topics as market efficiency and the difference between correlation and causation. Even better are his riffs on why real programmers hate Microsoft (hint: it's not jealousy) and the beauty behind interesting curves. In the end, Skiena even puts his money where his mouth is: using a modem, he sets loose an auto-dialing program called Maven that he and his grad students cooked up, sending it off in the wee hours of the morning to cull the Web for stats, play each match a half-million times, and then automatically wager a $250 stake. --Paul Hughes -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine vergriffene oder nicht verfügbare Ausgabe dieses Titels.
Pressestimmen
'A well told story … [the author] really knows his stuff. I couldn't put it down. The informal style is terrific; we should have more books written this way … Skiena really knows how to teach.' Persi Diaconis, Stanford University
'The book is easy to follow and provides insight to the beginning student of gambling games.' William T. Ziemba, University of British Columbia
'This funny and utterly compelling book is the story of how Skiena and his students constructed an embarrassingly successful computer program called Maven.' Tony Jones, New Scientist
'The book teaches with humor and enthusiasm how to use statistical data and analyze them, how to use computers for processing data, how to create mathematical models that fit your problem, and many other interesting things.' Zentralblatt für Mathematik und ihre Grenzgebiete Mathematics Abstracts
'This interesting book is about a gambling system that works. His methods can work for anyone; at the end of the book the author describes the best way to bet on jai alai. The book will be surely of interest not only for the fun of jai alai, but also for all those who would like to learn about the program trading systems, the future of internet gambling, how mathematical methods are used in political polling, what is the difference between the correlation and causality, and so on. If you are interested in gambling and mathematics, the odds are that this is a book for you!' EMS
'Interspersed with this account are many valuable digressions which make the book a very good general introduction to the ideas of modelling and simulation, enlivened by the highly practical example which forms its core. Skiena writes with wit, clarity and enthusiasm, and his story is an enthralling one. No matter if (like me) you have never heard of Jai Alai before, or never bet on a horse or bought a lottery ticket in your life, the reader identifies with Skiena's quest, and shares vicariously in his success.' The Mathematical Gazette
'Stephen Skiena has a rare gift: … Charmingly self-depreciative, Skiena suggests early on in Calculated Bets he's just a 'mild mannered professor', noting that 'part of the fun' of the title 'is the spectacle of a second-rate mind wasting itself on jai alai'… Concerns for the future of gambling aside, Calculated Bets is an eloquent exercise in prose and effortlessly teaches the less mathematically minded amongst us how computing can be innovative and interesting. It also offers a unique tale of how one man, along with the help of a few friends, can get to grips with betting and beat the bookmakers. It's for these reasons and so many more that we strongly recommend Calculated Bets.' www.casinoonline.co.uk
'The book is easy to follow and provides insight to the beginning student of gambling games.' William T. Ziemba, University of British Columbia
'This funny and utterly compelling book is the story of how Skiena and his students constructed an embarrassingly successful computer program called Maven.' Tony Jones, New Scientist
'The book teaches with humor and enthusiasm how to use statistical data and analyze them, how to use computers for processing data, how to create mathematical models that fit your problem, and many other interesting things.' Zentralblatt für Mathematik und ihre Grenzgebiete Mathematics Abstracts
'This interesting book is about a gambling system that works. His methods can work for anyone; at the end of the book the author describes the best way to bet on jai alai. The book will be surely of interest not only for the fun of jai alai, but also for all those who would like to learn about the program trading systems, the future of internet gambling, how mathematical methods are used in political polling, what is the difference between the correlation and causality, and so on. If you are interested in gambling and mathematics, the odds are that this is a book for you!' EMS
'Interspersed with this account are many valuable digressions which make the book a very good general introduction to the ideas of modelling and simulation, enlivened by the highly practical example which forms its core. Skiena writes with wit, clarity and enthusiasm, and his story is an enthralling one. No matter if (like me) you have never heard of Jai Alai before, or never bet on a horse or bought a lottery ticket in your life, the reader identifies with Skiena's quest, and shares vicariously in his success.' The Mathematical Gazette
'Stephen Skiena has a rare gift: … Charmingly self-depreciative, Skiena suggests early on in Calculated Bets he's just a 'mild mannered professor', noting that 'part of the fun' of the title 'is the spectacle of a second-rate mind wasting itself on jai alai'… Concerns for the future of gambling aside, Calculated Bets is an eloquent exercise in prose and effortlessly teaches the less mathematically minded amongst us how computing can be innovative and interesting. It also offers a unique tale of how one man, along with the help of a few friends, can get to grips with betting and beat the bookmakers. It's for these reasons and so many more that we strongly recommend Calculated Bets.' www.casinoonline.co.uk
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Einleitungssatz
My interest in jai alai began during my parents' annual escape from the cold of a New Jersey winter to the promised land of Florida. Lesen Sie die erste Seite
Buchdeckel | Copyright | Inhaltsverzeichnis | Auszug | Stichwortverzeichnis | Rückseite
My interest in jai alai began during my parents' annual escape from the cold of a New Jersey winter to the promised land of Florida. Lesen Sie die erste Seite
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Buchdeckel | Copyright | Inhaltsverzeichnis | Auszug | Stichwortverzeichnis | Rückseite
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2 von 2 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich:
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Von Dr. Christian Donninger "vulgo Chrilly" (Altmelon, Waldviertel) - Alle meine Rezensionen ansehen (TOP 1000 REZENSENT) (REAL NAME)
Rezension bezieht sich auf: Calculated Bets: Computers, Gambling, and Mathematical Modeling to Win (Outlooks) (Taschenbuch)
Der Autor ist Prof. für Computer-Science und seit frühester Jugend ein leidenschaftlicher Jai Alai Fan. Jai Alai (Span. Pelota) ist ein altes baskisches Ballspiel, dass auch im Süden der USA seine Fans hat. Das Buch ist ein Bericht über die Entwicklung eines tatsächlich funktionierenden Jai-Alai Wettsystems. Die Darstellung ist populärwissenschaftlich. Skiena hat einen guten Schmäh und kann gut erzählen. Gleichzeitig findet man aber eine Unzahl von interessanten Ideen. Man kann aus diesem Buch mehr lernen als von vielen gelehrten aber letztendlich blutleeren Abhandlungen. Der Autor geht auch ausführlich auf die Mühen der Ebene ein. Wie kommt man zu Spieldaten, wie gibt man Wetten durch, wie findet man Bugs...In der Computerschach-Szene gibt es den Spruch: "Es geht nicht um Leben oder Tod, es geht um mehr". Skiena berichtet ein ähnliches Gefühl. Wie ihn Gewinne des Programmes in eine euphorische Stimmung versetzen, Verluste verunsichern und zutiefst deprimieren. Das eigene Geschöpf verselbständigt sich und man wird von seinen Launen abhängig. Wer schon immer so ein System schreiben wollte oder einfach nur eine gute erzählte Geschichte lesen will, sollte sich dieses Buch bestellen. Helfen Sie anderen Kunden bei der Suche nach den hilfreichsten Rezensionen
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