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Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism
 
 
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Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism [Audiobook] [Englisch] [Audio CD]

Kevin Phillips , Scott Brick
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Produktinformation

  • Audio CD
  • Verlag: Penguin Audio; Auflage: Unabridged (15. April 2008)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • ISBN-10: 014314328X
  • ISBN-13: 978-0143143284
  • Vom Hersteller empfohlenes Alter: Ab 17 Jahren
  • Größe und/oder Gewicht: 14,7 x 13 x 3,8 cm
  • Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 3.0 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (2 Kundenrezensionen)
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: Nr. 1.745.806 in Englische Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Englische Bücher)

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Kevin P. Phillips
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Kurzbeschreibung

Unabridged CDs • 11 CDs, 14 hours

The New York Times–bestselling author cautions against the current financial practices of American capitalism and explains why they are bringing about our downfall.

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Von Donald Mitchell TOP 500 REZENSENT
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
The short message from this book is that the U.S. economy is in trouble and that trouble is about to get worse. Why? Private and government debt and spending are out of control and the chickens haven't come home to roost yet in terms of higher interest rates and higher costs of imports, the government lies about inflation, the credit crisis isn't over by a long shot, peak oil production will cause prices to shoot through the roof, our manufacturing base is gutted, economic growth is going to be lousy, foreigners aren't going to keep taking dollars, and nobody likes us outside of the country. Are you ready to become a second-rate country?

Unless you want to see some of the excellent tables and charts in the book that document these points, you don't need to read the book. Mr. Phillips doesn't add much to that brief message except to make continual references to prior histories of other nations. You would do better to spend your time working on solutions to the problems.

The book is also very dated, focusing on the conditions of August 2007 and the levels of oil prices and debt problems then. As we all know, those were the good old days compared to June 2008.

The writing style is also annoying in that Mr. Phillips doesn't assemble his points into a logical pattern to "prove" what might come next. It's an overly qualitative and anecdotal approach to issues that have quantitative implications.

There's not a bit of advice in the book about what you can do to help secure your future: This book seems to be totally aimed at setting the agenda for the next president of the United States.
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By avoiding completely America's habitual junior high school political patriotic pep rally approach practiced universally by politicians and pundits, Phillips provides uncompromising realism necessary to stem the relative and self-immolative economic decline of the U.S.

His book demonstrates overwhelmingly that the few, but not the people, benefited from what he terms the "financialization" of the economy over the last few decades at the expense of neglecting the manufacturing sector. With lots of hoopla, the expanding financial service sector was sold in the media while the manufacturing sector was neglected. Unrelentingly, the statistics prove that the manufacturing sector has been shrinking and that the massive financial service sector has been expanding, so that the latter now constitutes 20 to 2l percent of the GDP while manufacturing shrank to about 12 percent. This transition is correlated to a similar historical one between the agricultural and manufacturing sectors which started more than a century ago. No doubt major changes could not have been avoided in this transition, but the scope and overpromise of financialization was irresponsible, tragic and a giant fraud.

Co-joining this economic transition was an explosive growth in private debt while the media and pundits focused far too much on the public debt. Credit market debt quadrupled from 11 trillion to 48 trillion in the last few decades, massively outpacing public debt.

"Malfeasance of money" was maximized and revealingly "socializing of risk" (sort of what Walter Heller already formulated in the sixties as privatizing the profits and socializing the losses) was institutionalized with the aid of the Presidential Working Group on Financial Markets created in 1988 after the '87 crash. It included Fed Chair Greenspan, the Treasury Secretary, etc. Colloquially termed the Plunge Protection Team it enacted "Wall Street Socialism" and "socializing the risk" domestically and "financial mercantilism" abroad. 44 percent of corporate profits came from shuffling money around while only 10 percent came from manufacturing.

New debt instruments, CDO, SIV, derivatives of one sort or another, etc. enabled this pattern which was also boosted not just by Reagan but also by Clinton's Financial Services Modernization Act of '99, which dissolved the constraints and legal separation between banking, insurance and mortgages. (Clinton's patron was billionaire financier, Ron Burkle, who first contributed to him hugely and later hired him as a consultant, while Chelsea also was employed by a financial corporation after Hillary became a Senator of New York.)

Inflation statistics were changed so that they understated the inflation rate between 2 to 3 percentage pts. and overstated GDP growth. Under Bush, Jr. wars were declared while Bush urged consumers, unlike during previous wartimes, to continue to spend and travel. M-3 was eliminated by Bernanke in '06, though it was the ultimate indicator of inflation and was growing between 10 to 12 percent in '06 (by the way causing the Chinese to object to the dumping of M-3 since they could not gauge U.S. inflation accurately.)

"Bad Money," though not well-written and too narcissistic, does include illuminating and highly relevant statistics and graphs. Phillips places the horrible economic evolution into an historical comparative framework by referring frequently to Spanish, Dutch and British historical economic precedents. For an economic historian, this is a delight, though it falls short of being truly scholarly. But Phillips is not trying to write economic history. He is merely enlisting historical fact to shed additional light on recent U.S. economic events. And sure enough, historical comparisons aid tremendously in understanding the evolution and facts of America's current economic malaise.

Greenspan, for example, was impressed and seemingly highly influenced by the rising house prices of '75 and '79 when cashing out home equity provided massive consumer demand. Phillips believes that this aided in Greenspan's advocacy in encouraging the subprime mortgage mess and repeating, on a more massive scale, generating consumer demand by expanding enormously home equity loans between '01 and '06. Well, maybe Phillips did not fully gain insight into the Greenspan-Roland Arnall connection since Arnall with Greenspan's personal and monetary support started Ameriquest, one of the worst practitioners in the subprime mess.

In August '07, dramatic changes materialized, and the subprime mortgage bubble burst. In spite of having two oil Presidents and one oil V-P, oil's role was neglected as was manufacturing. Free markets were advocated, though not practiced in reality, and the mess was confronted by powerful and emerging foreign state oil corporations, foreign Sovereignty Funds, etc. which had all massively accumulated dollars and used them for nationalistic economic policies while America was under the false belief that the rest of the world would quite naturally follow America's wonderful capitalistic economy which, in reality, was undergoing economic self-immolation and suffering from imperial financial and military hubris.

Phillips's tome is interspersed with plenty of citations from those who advocated the financialization of our economy, including the religious Right which advocated "God Wants You To Be Rich" as well as those who warned of its consequences. Among the latter are the BIS in Basel, Switzerland, Kurt Richebacher, Alex Weber, Bert Ely, Hyman Minsky, et al.

The book cites Robert Reich's good point of ending treating hedge fund and private equity manager's income as capital gains and advocates, quite correctly, emphasizing "high value-added manufacturing and exporting" like Japan, Germany and Switzerland. Abandoning the hubris of military and financial imperialism would also help, Phillips adds by way of concluding, since both are drags on the U.S. future. In compliance with the Austrian School of Economist's notion that all credit expansions are followed by busts, the U.S. economy is now confronting another major example of this concept. All in all, Phillips' book is right on the mark serving the highly commendable purpose of dismantling enormous self-deceptions and delusions and rectifying massive fraud as well as re-orienting economic processes into a far better direction. Former IMF head Koehler seems to agree with Phillips when he recently judged the financial markets as a "monster."
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Financialization and Its Discontents 6. Mai 2008
Von Izaak VanGaalen - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
For those who have read Kevin Phillips' American Theocracy: The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21stCentury, many of the themes in the current work will sound familiar. In this book, as well as American Theocracy, he reminds us that previous empires such a 17th century Spain, 18th century Holland, and the late 19th and early 20th century Britain all succumbed to financialization as their global power reached its peak. He argues the the United States is now in a similar position. In the last 30 years financial services have grown from 11% of GDP to 21%, and manufacturing has declined from 25% to 13%. A reversal of roles that Phillips sees as very unhealthy.

This huge growth of the financial sector was not without adverse consequences: in the last 20 years public and private debt has quadrupeled to $43 trillion. How this came about has been expertly explained in another book called The Trillion Dollar Meltdown: Easy Money, High Rollers, and the Great Credit Crash by Charles Morris. There was easy money as the Federal Reserve was lending money at less than the rate of inflation. Money was risk-free for the lender since they collected fees up front and sold the securitized loans to investors. When this process was repeated millions of times, one ends up with hard-to-value securitized debt throughout the global economy. Then when housing prices start to decline and homeowners start to default on their mortgages on a grand scale, you have a global crisis of American capitalism. (Bear Stearns alone was estimated to be holding $46 billion worth of bad money.)

As in American Theocracy, Phillips writes that the oil industry is another component of the current crisis. In the US oil production peaked in the 1970s, on a global level it is peaking right about now. And with the ravenous appetite for oil from newly industrialized countries such as China and India, prices will continue to go up. The US still gets "cheap" oil relative to Europe since oil is priced in dollars, but that advantage may soon disappear. The weakening dollar is forcing OPEC countries to move to Euros and other currencies. And some oil producing countries such as Iran and Venezuela are moving to other currencies for reasons other than economic.

The author began his career as a Republican strategist, but he has long since disavowed them. Having a monetary policy of free money, a fiscal policy of tax cuts and increased spending, and an ideology of unregulated market fundamentalism, the Republicans have lost most of their credibiltiy. This does not mean Phillips has gone over to the Democratic side. He believes that Bill Clinton was instrumental in the financialization of the economy, and that currently Hillary and Obama are beholden to investment bankers and hedge fund managers. What used to be the vital center in Washington is now the "venal center."

The conclusion of this volume is very gloomy. Phillips believes that we are at a pivotal moment in American history when the economy has been hollowed out, we are saddled with trillions of dollars of debt, and our political leaders are dishonest, incompetent, and negligent. Given that all that may currently be the case, it may be instructive to further meditate on the empires of the past. Spain, Holland, and Britain all managed to survive and even thrive, hopefully the US will do the same.
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Grandpa Tells the Awful Truth 20. April 2008
Von leftyrite - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe|Von Amazon bestätigter Kauf
Kevin Phillips dedicates his latest insightful work of political and economic history to his grandson. It's a fitting tribute since, by the author's reckoning, the aforementioned young man might be well into his forties, and the U.S. deeply into its post-imperial senescence, by the time the mischief explained in the pages of Bad Money is fully digested by the earth's economic system.

Instead of reflecting upon and compensating for the turn to an unprecedented expansion of finance capitalism that today supersedes manufacturing in this nation by at least six percent of GDP, Wall Street, our empire's "coliseum," chose instead to gamble upon the promulgation of an unregulated class of investments known as derivatives, the size and scope of which, particularly in terms of their capacity to hedge against risk, could only be guessed at. So much for the efficacy of market deregulation.

In a similar context, it was sadly hilarious to hear former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin state recently that no one could have guessed the present debacle. Or, to recall that Hillary Clinton had proposed a blue ribbon committee, presumably to be chaired or co-chaired by Allan Greenspan, to address the situation.

Warren Buffett has been on record for denouncing derivatives as "weapons of financial mass destruction" since at least 2003. Even so, to paraphrase Pete Seeger, "the big fool(s)" at Citibank and Bear Stearns, "said to push on." Privatize the profits and socialize the losses.

At present, these so-called derivative financial "instruments" are embedded deeply in every sphere of global economic activity, from domestic pension funds to the portfolios of credulous investors throughout the world who believed in the transparency of the U.S. market system. Their ramifications add up to a disaster, aided and abetted at every modern-day turn by America's government, under both Democratic and Republican leadership.

Through his incisive and perceptive use of charts and tables,and,in his exceptionally clear narrative, Phillips makes the case that our government lies to itself as well as us. Now, we are fifty trillion dollars in debt. Go figure. Better yet, read and be ironically comforted by the truths contained in this quietly patriotic book.
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Insightful, but Incomplete and Rapidly Becoming Dated! 22. April 2008
Von Loyd E. Eskildson - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
"Bad Money" is about the insecurity of America's future given a debt-gorged financial sector, and vulnerability caused by expensive dependence on imported oil. The term refers not just to the depreciated dollar but also dangerous attitudes and flawed financial products.

Phillips points out that over the last 30 years, financial services have nearly doubled to a record 20% of GDP (and an even greater share of corporate profits - 54% in '04), while manufacturing's share has halved to 13% (10% of profits), greatly imperiling the economy. En route, Washington has provided government bailouts and/or liquidity when financial institutions or methodologies got themselves into trouble (eg. S&L crisis; Citibank forced into technical failure, but allowed to stay open; bailing out junk bond investors by lowering federal funds rate; etc.), encouraging bigger problems down the road.

The positive impact of borrowing has declined about 60-70% from the 1970s-80s when such monies would mostly be used for factory and highway construction, compared to today's increasingly likely use for increasing leverage for LBOs, M&A, and hedge funds. Meanwhile, the negative likelihood of families experiencing a 50% drop in income has increased dramatically from 1970 - resulting in a greater probability of default.

Cognizance of our problems has been somewhat covered up with revisions to the CPI (understating costs of home ownership) and unemployment measures (not counting those who gave up and quit looking). Thus, the 2-4%/year CPI increase 2005-2007 would have been 5-7%/year, and unemployment would have been 8%.

Early millennium results include the housing sector (including its "ATM effect") providing 40% of the nation's growth in GDP and employment (an unsustainable rate achieved through financial gamesmanship that set the stage for the current financial and construction crash), while imported petroleum outlays rose from $100 billion in '02 to $302 in '06.

Observing from a distance, OPEC has reduced its foreign-currency reserves held in dollars from 75% to 62.5%, and Iraq and Venezuela began selling oil in euros and yen (admittedly for political purposes, at least at first). Meanwhile, the U.S. has antagonized major oil producers (Iran, Russia, Venezuela), and effectively dismantled Iraq - raising the risk of nations being unwilling or unable to supply the U.S. as supplies grow tighter.

Declining oil supplies, rising demand, global warming, our recession, and global loss of confidence in American financial markets are all converging and demand strong political leadership. Phillips, however, is not optimistic that this will emerge based on strong financial sector support for the Democratic Party and political failures in other nations needing dramatic change.

Phillips makes numerous comparisons between the U.S. today and the Great Depression (Eg. Total indebtedness was three times the size of GDP in 2007, higher than the prior record set in the years of the Great Depression), as well as the declines of Rome, Holland, Spain, and Great Britain. Regardless, no predictions are made about how long or deep our current downturn will be (though his writing hints the more severe possibilities), and he gives little or no attention to the steady amassing of dollars in Asia and associated growing unemployment of Americans. Finally, readers must also keep in mind that throughout the book he refers to $70 oil - obviously outdated vs. today's nearly $120.

Interesting Side Issue: Phillips states that food represents about 14% of the U.S. CPI, vs. 33% and 46% for China and India, respectively. Doesn't auger well for biofuels continuing to take 28% of the U.S. corn crop.
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