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At the Crest of the Tidal Wave: A Forecast for the Great Bear Market [Englisch] [Gebundene Ausgabe]

Robert R., Jr. Prechter
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Kurzbeschreibung

Juni 1995
Just like Elliot Wave Principle, its super-bullish predecessor from 1978, this updated and abridged paperback version of At the Crest of the Tidal Wave presents a scenario that appears too dramatic and specific to be more than unfounded conjecture. However, the author's forecasting toll is again the only one that has proved its value in addressing future market probabilities. The result is social science at its best.
 
If even half of the author's forecasts come to pass, the world of finance just a few years hence will be immeasurably different from what it is today. Using the same precise approach that he employed a month after the 1982 low at Dow 777 to forecast a great bull market that would carry the Dow Industrial Average to near 4000, Robert Prechter now calls for slow motion economic earthquake that will register 11 on the financial Richter scale. The Great Assert Mania of recent years is in its final euphoric months, he says, and the next event will be a collapse of historic proportion.
 
If you are already well versed in the Wave Principle and prepared for the change that is coming, then ignore this book. If you are not, then devour it cover from cover. Be prepared for a shift in the tectonic plates that make up your mind's notions about financial causality. Above all, get ready for a violent shaking of your faith in conventional economic wisdom.
-- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine andere Ausgabe: Taschenbuch .

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Produktinformation

  • Gebundene Ausgabe: 475 Seiten
  • Verlag: New Classics Library Publications,U.S. (Juni 1995)
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • ISBN-10: 0932750397
  • ISBN-13: 978-0932750396
  • Größe und/oder Gewicht: 24,2 x 16,4 x 3,4 cm
  • Durchschnittliche Kundenbewertung: 4.7 von 5 Sternen  Alle Rezensionen anzeigen (3 Kundenrezensionen)
  • Amazon Bestseller-Rang: Nr. 441.273 in Fremdsprachige Bücher (Siehe Top 100 in Fremdsprachige Bücher)
  • Komplettes Inhaltsverzeichnis ansehen

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Produktbeschreibungen

Pressestimmen

"There is an old Arab proverb which says that "When you go shopping for wisdom, visit every tent in the bazaar." When Robert Prechter published his first book in 1978 predicting the super bull market of the 1980's, only a very few people visited his tent. I hope more people visit his tent today, in order to understand the financial, economic and social implications of At the Crest of the Tidal Wave.", Marc Faber, , Faber Ltd, Hong Kong#"Robert Prechter and R.N. Elliot will be remembered as the two greatest social scientists of this century for their understanding of mass psychology, markets and the economy.", Donald Evans, President, FX500 Money Management#"The icy logic and stunning originality with which Prechter predicts the impending death of our Grand Bull Market make At the Crest of the Tidal Wave eminently worthy of attention. But the fact that years ago this author virtually stood alone in prophesying the birth of this very same bull market renders his current vision absolutely indispensable to serious investors.
 
", Paul Macrae Montgomery , , Legg Mason Wood Walker#"Recently I finished reading for the third time Charles Mackay's classic, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, first published in 1841. Not much has changed, and here we are at yet another turning point in history... At the Crest of the Tidal Wave probably will join Mackay's famous book as one of the most prescient of the past 175 years.", Charles Allmon, President , Growth Stock Outlook#"At the Crest of the Tidal Wave is a brilliant and important piece of long wave research with potentially devastating investment implications for the future.", Paul Tudor Jones II, President, Tudor Investment Corp#"The scholarly discipline, ultra long-term historical perspective, and topical diversity of Robert Prechter's discerning At the Crest of the Tidal Wave will challenge all serious investors to re-examine today's "buy and hold" mantra.", Henry Van der Eb, Chairman, Mathers Fund# -- Dieser Text bezieht sich auf eine andere Ausgabe: Taschenbuch .

Synopsis

A financial forecast describes specific fiscal events which will occur in the late twentieth century, drastically reversing the strong market of the mid-1990s.

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5.0 von 5 Sternen A must-have roadmap for the years to come. 20. April 1999
Von Ein Kunde
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
Welcome to Dow 10,000. So, what's next? Skies the limit, right? Do you know what it means when everyone you know is in the stock market? Have you ever wondered why only the big name stocks have been soaring like rockets for years, while those of most small and medium size companies have languished? Would it surprise you to know that the 15 year rise in bonds has not been a bull market at all, but a BEAR MARKET RALLY? How far must the price of gold fall before it finally reaches "rock bottom"? And finally, what do you think your home will be worth ten years from now? Read this book and you will have an excellent guide to all these questions. Robert Prechter has seen it all. He entered the financial world in the early 1970's, just in time to witness the last true bear market in U.S. stocks. He forecasted the 1982 breakout of the Dow Jones Industrials four years before it occurred. His prediction was widely considered impossible and out of touch with the realities of late 1970's. And importantly, he then predicted that it would blossom into the full blown mania we are seeing today. As the world's foremost practitioner of the Elliott Wave Principle, Mr. Prechter has the long range view required to see just where we are in the "big picture". And although we've been patiently waiting since this book was written (1995), all the pieces are slowly, but surely, falling into place. I've read nearly fifty books on financial markets, many of them considered classics, and I can honestly say that this is one of only two books you'll ever need to own on the subject. The other is "Elliott Wave Principle", by Frost & Prechter.
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4.0 von 5 Sternen Provocative analysis... 24. Februar 1998
Von Ein Kunde
Format:Taschenbuch
Mr. Prechter may well be someday seen as the Roger Babson (see "Only Yesterday" [1931] and "The Great Crash 1929" [1954] by Allen and Galbraith) of the 1990's Great Bull Market. Although Mr. Prechter's warnings have largely been muted by the manic din of the Wall Street crowd, his analysis, nonetheless, is thorough and intriguing. It is difficult to argue with the author's underlying premise that psychology is a significant force in determining asset prices. One could rightly argue that the current market psychology is certainly reminiscent of manic financial bubbles of the past, but future events will have to determine this. With the most recent Asian financial crisis, the global markets may have witnessed a symptom of larger economic and historical forces coalescing to prove Mr. Prechter ultimately correct. For individuals who would like an alternative to the "buy-and-hold-and-get-rich" mantra, Mr. Prechter may well convince you that, with each tick up on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the probability increases that stocks will soon cease always going up.
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5.0 von 5 Sternen Everyone in the world should read this book. 2. März 1999
Von Ein Kunde
Format:Taschenbuch
I was spellbound from the moment I turned the first page. I have been watching the markets every day since then. I can't say enough about this book. Everyone should read it. Prechter will one day enter the same halls of fame as Issac Newton, Einstein and Freud.
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57 von 60 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen A must-have roadmap for the years to come. 20. April 1999
Von Ein Kunde - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
Welcome to Dow 10,000. So, what's next? Skies the limit, right? Do you know what it means when everyone you know is in the stock market? Have you ever wondered why only the big name stocks have been soaring like rockets for years, while those of most small and medium size companies have languished? Would it surprise you to know that the 15 year rise in bonds has not been a bull market at all, but a BEAR MARKET RALLY? How far must the price of gold fall before it finally reaches "rock bottom"? And finally, what do you think your home will be worth ten years from now? Read this book and you will have an excellent guide to all these questions. Robert Prechter has seen it all. He entered the financial world in the early 1970's, just in time to witness the last true bear market in U.S. stocks. He forecasted the 1982 breakout of the Dow Jones Industrials four years before it occurred. His prediction was widely considered impossible and out of touch with the realities of late 1970's. And importantly, he then predicted that it would blossom into the full blown mania we are seeing today. As the world's foremost practitioner of the Elliott Wave Principle, Mr. Prechter has the long range view required to see just where we are in the "big picture". And although we've been patiently waiting since this book was written (1995), all the pieces are slowly, but surely, falling into place. I've read nearly fifty books on financial markets, many of them considered classics, and I can honestly say that this is one of only two books you'll ever need to own on the subject. The other is "Elliott Wave Principle", by Frost & Prechter.
20 von 21 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
4.0 von 5 Sternen Must Read 28. Oktober 2001
Von Thomas G. Montgomery - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
This book is a must read for financial survival. Prechter has an engaging writing style. His opinions are often outrageous and sometimes too extreme. This value of this book is in that it is so different from the conventional financial press.
Almost alone Prechter predicted the great bull market back in 1979. He then called the top prematurely but at least he did warn this readers that a top was coming. The scope of Prechter's vision is awesome. He has charts with trendlines going back to 1700 with projections for the next century.
Chapter 11 "Manifestations of Investor Psychology" is very powerful.
14 von 15 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
5.0 von 5 Sternen Don't Wait for the Noise 22. Dezember 2001
Von Ein Kunde - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
There was a movie which showed an approaching tidal wave. There was no noise because the wave was travelling faster than the speed of sound. This is the case of the oncoming financial tidal wave of disaster. One can hear the bullish rantings of a stream of advisors, nudging us into a sleeping wonderment of good things to come. The tidal wave is on its way. Prechter has pointed out the various items unfolding before our eyes. He was early in many of the prognostications, but they are surely falling into place. If you read the book, you will surely see how they are unfolding. Your financial health is at stake. The tech wreck was only the beginning. Read on, there is still time, but the book will be out of date in a couple of years.
16 von 19 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
2.0 von 5 Sternen Maybe I'm Just Too Stupid to Understand This Book 9. Februar 2006
Von Hawkeye Richardson - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
If you go to the list showing all of my reviews, you will see that I have read quite a few books about the stock market and trading in general. While I have encountered information that talked in generalities about the Elliott Wave Principle, I had never delved into it in much detail as I never felt the methodology was consistent. Having trudged my way through this book, I have come to the conclusion that either (1) I am too stupid to be able to understand and trade based on the EWP (an admittedly distinct possibility), or (2) I have never read so much after-the-fact 'curve fitting' in my life. If you are a student and believer in the Elliott Wave Principle, this will be like adding a second Bible to your collection. If, however, you don't already know and understand the EWP, and unless you are a genius, plan on spending years trying to understand the theory before you will be able to implement it into your trading system. Sorry, Mr. Prechter, but I just don't get it.
11 von 13 Kunden fanden die folgende Rezension hilfreich
2.0 von 5 Sternen Eventually, Prechter will be right 12. Januar 1998
Von Ronald Davis - Veröffentlicht auf Amazon.com
Format:Gebundene Ausgabe
While Prechter is admittedly the guru of Elliott Wave Theory, he has been predicting a major Bear market in U.S. Stocks since 1985. Two years ago he went on record as predicting DJIA 800 in the next five years, and DJIA 1500 within two years. The books to read by Prechter are his expositions on EWT, which are THE presentations of EWT. Rather like Granville for so many years, Prechter seems bent on crying "bear" until one shows up. Unless you are fond of hearing yet another theory on "Why the economy will collapse and trash the world's wealth," skip this presentation by Mr. Prechter.
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