am 6. Juli 2014
Worth reading if you are trying to understand what is going on in the South China sea, and how it is likely to evolve.
Kaplan sketches the historical backrop underlines the difference to situation leading up to the outbreak of WW1 and WW11 in Europe
(a maritime rather than land based geography, which hinders the movement of armies, and would slow the action down) ,
and finally re-iterates the importance of oil.His view China flexing its muscles with time working in its favour, leaning on its weaker neighbours in this conflict, witht ideally "no gunshot". However we are still left with the nagging doubt as to the reaction of Vietnam,
Japan, U.S.A, and the danger of escalation from an incident.PGL